Sesvetevs
Segesta Sisak
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sesvete 2-0 Segesta Sisak
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.1% | 35.9% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.0% | 30.0% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 31.9% | 34.1% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.0%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SesveteLLWLW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Segesta SisakDLWWW
GF 23 · GA 3 · avg 4.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SesveteSegesta Sisak
0.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.06xG1.06