Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sesvete · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sesvete 0-0 Hrvace, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sesvete 0-0 Hrvace
Original prediction
Sesvete
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.4% | 43.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 29.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 23.5% | 26.3% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Projected Score
Sesvete 0–0 Hrvace
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Sesvete
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Sesvete has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SesveteLDLLW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HrvaceLLWWD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SesveteHrvace
29.2Attack29.6
58.3Defence44.4
29.2Form25.9
41.1Power35.3
1.15xG0.71