GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 8/28/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sesvete are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Dubrava Zagreb are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sesvete hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the First NL, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SesveteDL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Dubrava ZagrebDDWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SesveteDubrava Zagreb
36.4Attack36.4
58.6Defence55.6
42.4Form38.4
47.4Power45.2
1.04xG0.82
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