Sestri Levantevs
Saluzzo
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone A · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sestri Levante · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sestri Levante 0-0 Saluzzo
Original prediction
Sestri Levante
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.3% | 38.5% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.3% | 28.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.4% | 32.7% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Sestri Levante
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Sestri Levante has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80