Sestao Rivervs
Terrassa
COMPLETEDSpain · Copa Federacion · 9/30/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sestao River · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sestao River 4-1 Terrassa
Original prediction
Sestao River
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.9% | 40.0% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.3% | 29.8% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 24.8% | 30.2% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Sestao River
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Sestao River has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20