Sestao Rivervs
Ponferradina
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/3/2023, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sestao River are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ponferradina are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ponferradina hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 57.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40