Sestao Rivervs
Gimnástica Torrelavega
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/10/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sestao River · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sestao River 0-0 Gimnástica Torrelavega
Original prediction
Sestao River
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 15:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.4% | 56.6% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.6% | 24.4% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 20.0% | 18.9% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Sestao River
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Sestao River has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00