GGOALVIO

Brazil · Brasiliense B · 9/23/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Taguatinga EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SESP Samambaense are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.25 conceded, while Taguatinga EC are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Taguatinga EC hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Brasiliense B, while Taguatinga EC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Taguatinga EC

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Taguatinga EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SESP SamambaenseWLWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.25

BTTS 0/4O2.5 2/4
Taguatinga ECWWWW

GF 20 · GA 1 · avg 5.00/0.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 4/4
SESP SamambaenseTaguatinga EC
40.7Attack85.2
74.1Defence85.2
51.9Form66.7
55.7Power72.8
0.89xG1.61
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