GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/7/2025, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Utrecht · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Servette FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Utrecht are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Utrecht hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (29.7 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Utrecht holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Utrecht

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Utrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Servette FCLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UtrechtWWLDD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Servette FCUtrecht
22.2Attack45.2
27.8Defence54.8
27.8Form40.5
29.7Power47.9
0.99xG1.64
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