GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/9/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Servette FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sheriff Tiraspol are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheriff Tiraspol hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (29.7 v 33.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sheriff Tiraspol holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sheriff Tiraspol

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Servette FCWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Sheriff TiraspolWWDWD

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Servette FCSheriff Tiraspol
22.2Attack8.3
27.8Defence50.0
27.8Form33.3
29.7Power33.4
1.11xG1.39
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