Servette FCvs
FC ST. Gallen
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Servette FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Servette FC 0-2 FC ST. Gallen
Original prediction
Servette FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 43.4% | 39.1% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 25.0% | 25.2% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 31.6% | 35.8% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Servette FC
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Servette FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00