Servette FCvs
FC Luzern
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Servette FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Servette FC 1-1 FC Luzern
Original prediction
Servette FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 50.0% | 46.4% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.9% | 25.5% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 26.1% | 28.1% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Servette FC
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Servette FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60