Paulista - U20Paulista - U20
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 15:02
Sertãozinho U20

Sertãozinho U20

Home
D
20
Full time
América-SP U20

América-SP U20

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Sertãozinho U20(47%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Sertãozinho U20
47%
Draw
27%
América-SP U20
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sertãozinho U20
34
América-SP U20
73
Defence
Sertãozinho U20
66
América-SP U20
6
Momentum
Sertãozinho U20
33
América-SP U20
0
Danger (xG)
Sertãozinho U20
0.90
América-SP U20
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Sertãozinho U20)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (América-SP U20)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Sertãozinho U20)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (América-SP U20)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Sertãozinho U20Sertãozinho U20
D
América-SP U20América-SP U20
LL

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Sertãozinho U2047%
Draw27%
América-SP U2025%

Sertãozinho U20 leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sertãozinho U20 head into this in Paulista - U20 fixture in mixed form (D), while América-SP U20 arrive in mixed form (L). Sertãozinho U20 have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for América-SP U20 over 1 games.

The model rates Sertãozinho U20's attack at 34/100 against a 6/100 América-SP U20 defence, and América-SP U20's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Sertãozinho U20 backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Sertãozinho U20 have limited home data in the engine at this stage. América-SP U20 have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Sertãozinho U20 and América-SP U20 in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Sertãozinho U20 to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Sertãozinho U20 4731%, Draw 2740%, América-SP U20 2529%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Sertãozinho U20

Sertãozinho U20

D
@ Juventus U20
16 Jul 2026
11
América-SP U20

América-SP U20

L
@ Itapirense U20
17 Jul 2026
23
L
vs Ponte Preta U20
25 Jun 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sertãozinho U20 vs América-SP U20?

GoalVio's model predicts Sertãozinho U20 to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sertãozinho U20 vs América-SP U20?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Sertãozinho U20 vs América-SP U20?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sertãozinho U20 vs América-SP U20?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more