Sertanensevs
Marinhense
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 9/3/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sertanense are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Marinhense are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Marinhense hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50