GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 6/17/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Serrano RJ are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while São Gonçalo EC RJ are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and São Gonçalo EC RJ hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Copa Rio, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Serrano RJDWWWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
São Gonçalo EC RJLWLWW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Serrano RJSão Gonçalo EC RJ
33.3Attack27.8
50.0Defence77.8
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power55.0
0.74xG0.85
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