Serrano RJvs
Friburguense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/23/2023, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Serrano RJ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Serrano RJ are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Friburguense are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 60.6 against 61.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Carioca - 2, while Serrano RJ holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Serrano RJ
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Serrano RJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20