GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/17/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barra da Tijuca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Serrano RJ are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Barra da Tijuca are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Barra da Tijuca hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Carioca - 2, while Barra da Tijuca holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barra da Tijuca

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Barra da Tijuca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Serrano RJLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Barra da TijucaDWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Serrano RJBarra da Tijuca
53.3Attack61.5
66.7Defence74.4
57.8Form61.5
60.6Power64.6
0.87xG1.14
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