GGOALVIO

Brazil · Capixaba B · 8/15/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Serra Talhada · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Serra Talhada are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pinheiros are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Talhada hold a 72.6-point power-rating edge (86.1 v 13.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.1% in the Capixaba B, while Serra Talhada holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Serra Talhada

Probability

92.1%

Model confidence

92.1%

Serra Talhada has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Serra TalhadaWDLDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PinheirosDLLWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Serra TalhadaPinheiros
100.0Attack20.0
80.0Defence6.7
90.0Form0.0
86.1Power13.5
4.36xG0.53
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