GGOALVIO

Brazil · Capixaba B · 10/11/2025, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Serra Talhada · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Serra Talhada are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Forte FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Talhada hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (86.1 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Capixaba B, while Serra Talhada holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Serra Talhada

Probability

56.8%

Model confidence

13.8%

Serra Talhada has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Serra TalhadaWWWWW

GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Forte FCWWDWL

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Serra TalhadaForte FC
100.0Attack53.3
80.0Defence80.0
90.0Form56.7
86.1Power61.4
1.64xG0.77
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