Serra Macaensevs
Paraty
COMPLETEDBrazil · Carioca B2 · 10/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Serra Macaense · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Serra Macaense 6-2 Paraty
Original prediction
Serra Macaense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Serra Macaense
Probability
76.2%
Model confidence
76.2%
Serra Macaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Serra MacaenseWDWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ParatyLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Serra MacaenseParaty
61.9Attack19.0
61.9Defence0.0
61.9Form0.0
62.9Power12.2
2.94xG0.63