Serra Macaensevs
Paduano
COMPLETEDBrazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/29/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paduano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Serra Macaense are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Paduano are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Paduano hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (32.2 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Carioca - 2, while Paduano holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paduano
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Paduano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33