Serra Macaensevs
Bonsucesso
COMPLETEDBrazil · Carioca B2 · 9/29/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Serra Macaense are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bonsucesso are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bonsucesso hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Carioca B2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00