Serra Macaensevs
Barra Mansa
COMPLETEDBrazil · Carioca B2 · 10/14/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Serra Macaense are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Barra Mansa are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Macaense hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Carioca B2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00