GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Serra Branca are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Treze are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.4 against 57.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Serra BrancaDWDWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TrezeWDWLW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Serra BrancaTreze
40.5Attack52.1
73.8Defence60.4
52.4Form56.3
57.4Power57.6
1.03xG0.75
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