Serra Brancavs
Retrô
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/31/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Serra Branca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Serra Branca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Retrô are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Branca hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Serie D, while Serra Branca holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Serra Branca
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
18.1%
Serra Branca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80