Serra Brancavs
Decisão
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/18/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Serra Branca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Serra Branca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Decisão are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LDWD), averaging 0.75 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Branca hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.0% in the Serie D, while Serra Branca holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Serra Branca
Probability
64.0%
Model confidence
20.0%
Serra Branca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.75/0.75