Serik Sporvs
Kütahyaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Serik Spor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Serik Spor 0-2 Kütahyaspor
Original prediction
Serik Spor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.1% | 39.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.0% | 27.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 33.9% | 32.8% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Serik Spor
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Serik Spor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80