Serik Sporvs
İnegölspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Serik Spor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Serik Spor 2-1 İnegölspor
Original prediction
Serik Spor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.7% | 41.1% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.9% | 27.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.4% | 31.8% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Serik Spor
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Serik Spor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60