Serik Sporvs
Hakkari Zapspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/28/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Serik Spor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Serik Spor 1-1 Hakkari Zapspor
Original prediction
Serik Spor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 01:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.6% | 42.3% | -23.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.68 | 19.5% | 25.1% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 6.16 | 14.9% | 32.6% | 17.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Serik Spor
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Serik Spor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60