Serik Sporvs
Fethiyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/27/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Serik Spor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Serik Spor 0-1 Fethiyespor
Original prediction
Serik Spor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.6% | 53.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.2% | 24.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.69 | 19.2% | 21.8% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Serik Spor
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Serik Spor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60