Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sereď · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Sereď are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dubnica are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sereď hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (64.0 v 20.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.1% in the 3. liga - West, while Sereď holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sereď
Probability
89.1%
Model confidence
89.1%
Sereď has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20