Serbia U19vs
Hungary U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/29/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Serbia U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Serbia U19 0-4 Hungary U19
Original prediction
Serbia U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.4% | 39.4% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.6% | 26.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.0% | 34.3% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Serbia U19
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Serbia U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40