Seraing Unitedvs
Sporting Hasselt
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Hasselt · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Seraing United 1-2 Sporting Hasselt
Original prediction
Sporting Hasselt
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 31.2% | 32.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.8% | 27.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 43.0% | 40.6% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Hasselt
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Sporting Hasselt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00