GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Second League · 7/28/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Septemvri Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Septemvri Sofia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Spartak Pleven are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Pleven hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Second League, while Septemvri Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Septemvri Sofia

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Septemvri Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Septemvri SofiaWWLLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Spartak PlevenLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Septemvri SofiaSpartak Pleven
45.1Attack66.7
74.5Defence66.7
63.7Form77.8
62.9Power72.8
1.17xG0.74
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