GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Second League · 7/15/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Septemvri Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Septemvri Sofia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Litex are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Septemvri Sofia hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Second League, while Septemvri Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Septemvri Sofia

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Septemvri Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Septemvri SofiaLLWWL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LitexDLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Septemvri SofiaLitex
45.1Attack29.4
74.5Defence64.7
63.7Form44.1
62.9Power48.4
1.07xG0.39
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