Romania · Liga I · 10/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitatea Craiova · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0-1 Universitatea Craiova, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0-5 Universitatea Craiova
Original prediction
Universitatea Craiova
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.72 | 16.1% | 10.0% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 23.1% | 21.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.9% | 68.3% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Projected Score
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–1 Universitatea Craiova
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Universitatea Craiova
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
68.3%
Universitatea Craiova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40