GGOALVIO

Romania · Cupa României · 9/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1-3 CFR 1907 Cluj

Original prediction

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4237.5%46.1%8.6 pts
Draw3.1428.9%26.1%-2.8 pts
Away2.7033.6%27.9%-5.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheWDWDD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
CFR 1907 ClujWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheCFR 1907 Cluj
66.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form41.7
88.7Power43.1
2.27xG1.22
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