Sepahan FCvs
Mes Shahr-e Babak
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/25/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sepahan FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sepahan FC 1-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sepahan FC 4-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak
Original prediction
Sepahan FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 72.4% | 74.7% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 19.8% | 18.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 11.70 | 7.8% | 6.6% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Sepahan FC 1–0 Mes Shahr-e Babak
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Sepahan FC
Probability
74.7%
Model confidence
74.7%
Sepahan FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80