Sepahan FCvs
Fajr Sepasi
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/8/2026, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sepahan FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sepahan FC 0-0 Fajr Sepasi, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sepahan FC 6-1 Fajr Sepasi
Original prediction
Sepahan FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.2% | 40.3% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.3% | 33.4% | 7.0 pts |
| Away | 5.53 | 16.4% | 26.3% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.9 pts
Projected Score
Sepahan FC 0–0 Fajr Sepasi
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Sepahan FC
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Sepahan FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sepahan FCWDWLL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Fajr SepasiLDDWD
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Sepahan FCFajr Sepasi
27.8Attack16.7
77.8Defence83.3
55.6Form38.9
55.3Power49.4
0.64xG0.47