Sepahan FCvs
Esteghlal Khuzestan
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 9/6/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sepahan FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sepahan FC 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sepahan FC 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan
Original prediction
Sepahan FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 69.2% | 52.1% | -17.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 21.6% | 28.8% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 10.00 | 9.3% | 19.1% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.1 pts
Projected Score
Sepahan FC 0–0 Esteghlal Khuzestan
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Sepahan FC
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Sepahan FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60