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Seoul logoSeoulvsChangnyeong logoChangnyeong

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South-Korea · WK-League · 4/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seoul · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Seoul are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Changnyeong are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Seoul hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 28.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the WK-League, while Seoul holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seoul

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

13.1%

Seoul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SeoulWLLLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ChangnyeongDLLLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SeoulChangnyeong
31.6Attack31.6
45.6Defence24.6
38.6Form21.1
41.3Power28.8
1.59xG0.90
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