Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon FMC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Seoul are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Suwon FMC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Suwon FMC hold a 36.6-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 77.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.3% in the WK-League, while Suwon FMC holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suwon FMC
Probability
79.3%
Model confidence
79.3%
Suwon FMC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60