Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gyeongju · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Seoul are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gyeongju are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gyeongju hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the WK-League, while Gyeongju holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gyeongju
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
12.5%
Gyeongju has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00