GGOALVIO

South-Korea · WK-League · 4/14/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Seoul are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Boeun Sangmu are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Boeun Sangmu hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the WK-League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SeoulDWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Boeun SangmuDLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.67/2.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
SeoulBoeun Sangmu
31.6Attack35.0
45.6Defence53.3
38.6Form43.3
41.3Power46.4
0.93xG1.06
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