Seosan Pioneervs
Jincheon
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 10/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jincheon · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (13%), 0-2 (12%), 0-4 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Seosan Pioneer 1-1 Jincheon
Original prediction
Jincheon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.88 | 18.2% | 16.9% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 21.7% | 20.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 60.1% | 62.8% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–313%
- 2.0–212%
- 3.0–410%
Predicted outcome
Jincheon
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
Jincheon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00