Seongnam FCvs
Suwon City FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon City FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Seongnam FC 1-2 Suwon City FC
Original prediction
Suwon City FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 26.8% | 21.5% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.1% | 24.0% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 47.1% | 54.6% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Suwon City FC
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Suwon City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60