GGOALVIO

South-Korea · FA Cup · 3/29/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seongnam FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Seongnam FC are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LDLW), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pyeongchang United are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Pyeongchang United hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the FA Cup, while Seongnam FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seongnam FC

Probability

34.7%

Model confidence

34.7%

Seongnam FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Seongnam FCLDLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.75/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Pyeongchang UnitedW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Seongnam FCPyeongchang United
22.2Attack33.3
55.6Defence66.7
44.4Form50.0
43.8Power53.0
1.45xG1.42
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