Seongnam FCvs
Hwaseong
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hwaseong · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Seongnam FC 0-0 Hwaseong, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Seongnam FC 2-2 Hwaseong
Original prediction
Hwaseong
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.5% | 27.0% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.0% | 28.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.5% | 44.5% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Projected Score
Seongnam FC 0–0 Hwaseong
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Hwaseong
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Hwaseong has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Seongnam FCLWDWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HwaseongWDWLD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Seongnam FCHwaseong
36.1Attack52.0
61.1Defence66.7
41.7Form57.3
49.0Power59.8
0.75xG1.14