K League 2K League 2
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:43
Seongnam FC

Seongnam FC

Home
W
10
Full time
Busan I Park

Busan I Park

Away
W
Tancheon Stadium
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Busan I Park(47%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Seongnam FC
18%
Draw
35%
Busan I Park
47%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Seongnam FC
73
Busan I Park
73
Defence
Seongnam FC
66
Busan I Park
91
Momentum
Seongnam FC
100
Busan I Park
100
Danger (xG)
Seongnam FC
1.80
Busan I Park
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Seongnam FC)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Busan I Park)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Seongnam FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Busan I Park)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Seongnam FCSeongnam FC
WD
Busan I ParkBusan I Park
WL

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Seongnam FC18%
Draw35%
Busan I Park47%

Busan I Park leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Seongnam FC head into this in K League 2 fixture at Tancheon Stadium in mixed form (W), while Busan I Park arrive in mixed form (W). Seongnam FC have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Busan I Park over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Seongnam FC (66/100) and Busan I Park (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Seongnam FC have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Busan I Park have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Seongnam FC and Busan I Park in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Busan I Park to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Seongnam FC 1840%, Draw 3500%, Busan I Park 4659%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Seongnam FC

Seongnam FC

W
vs Pocheon
15 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Gyeongnam FC
17 May 2026
11
Busan I Park

Busan I Park

W
vs Gimpo Citizen
12 Jul 2026
20
L
@ Hwaseong
17 May 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Seongnam FC vs Busan I Park?

GoalVio's model predicts Busan I Park to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Seongnam FC vs Busan I Park?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Seongnam FC vs Busan I Park?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Seongnam FC vs Busan I Park?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more