Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Senegal W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Senegal W 2-0 Tunisia W
Original prediction
Senegal W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 16:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Senegal W
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Senegal W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Senegal WDWLLW
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Tunisia WDDWWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Senegal WTunisia W
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
2.34xG1.99